And the winner is...

As can be seen on my website, there were 10 participants in my release pool. Now, who won?

Let's have a look. In the order that I received them bets, the following people placed a bet:

Time this person bets onTime this bet hit my mailboxWho
2005-06-25 05:00 UTC2005-05-29 05:01:42 UTCJunichi Uekawa
2005-06-07 22:00 UTC2005-05-29 10:06:57 UTCAigars Mahinovs
2005-06-05 09:00 UTC2005-05-29 10:45:14 UTCMark Hymers
2005-06-17 22:43 UTC2005-05-29 13:28:37 UTCBill Allombert
2005-06-07 01:23 UTC2005-05-29 15:36:02 UTCJoachim Breitner
2005-06-09 01:00 UTC2005-05-29 15:40:03 UTCLars Wirzenius
2005-06-06 23:42 UTC2005-05-30 09:29:49 UTCAlexander Schmehl
2005-06-08 06:00 UTC2005-05-31 07:45:20 UTCTollef Fog Heen
2005-06-05 20:00 UTC2005-05-31 09:03:03 UTCWouter Verhelst
2005-06-04 18:00 UTC2005-06-02 13:29:56 UTCRob McQueen

Yes, I placed a bet myself. No, I didn't frame it — heck, I didn't even win. Who did? Well, let's see. According to my rulebook, we first need to throw out those who placed a bet within 48 hours of the actual release. Since Rob McQueen was last on 2005-06-02 and we're now more than 96 hours from that time, this rule does not apply.

So, what's left is to determine who is closest to the actual release time. That's easy:

Time this person bets onTime this bet hit my mailboxWho
2005-06-04 18:00 UTC2005-06-02 13:29:56 UTCRob McQueen
2005-06-05 09:00 UTC2005-05-29 10:45:14 UTCMark Hymers
2005-06-05 20:00 UTC2005-05-31 09:03:03 UTCWouter Verhelst
2005-06-06 23:42 UTC2005-05-30 09:29:49 UTCAlexander Schmehl
2005-06-07 01:23 UTC2005-05-29 15:36:02 UTCJoachim Breitner
2005-06-07 22:00 UTC2005-05-29 10:06:57 UTCAigars Mahinovs
2005-06-08 06:00 UTC2005-05-31 07:45:20 UTCTollef Fog Heen
2005-06-09 01:00 UTC2005-05-29 15:40:03 UTCLars Wirzenius
2005-06-17 22:43 UTC2005-05-29 13:28:37 UTCBill Allombert
2005-06-25 05:00 UTC2005-05-29 05:01:42 UTCJunichi Uekawa

According to my mailbox, the mail to debian-announce, announcing that the release has happened, was sent on Mon, 6 Jun 2005 23:39:54 +0200, which is 2005-06-06 21:39:54 UTC.

This falls in between myself and Alexander Schmehl, but it's much closer to Alexander.

So, the winner is Alexander Schmehl.

Cheers!

(Oh, and for those who wonder: no, I didn't send myself an email. I just had a look at my clock when I placed the bet :-)